Posts Tagged ‘correlation to debt’

The “Good Debt” Fallacy: Part 1 (Mortgage)

Saturday, December 13th, 2008

Most of us have heard personal financial advisors divide debt into two broad categories:  “good debt” and “bad debt”.  In this framework, “bad debt” represents that debt which is incurred to finance short-term consumption while “good debt” is used to purchase assets or increase earning capacity.  In reality, this division is overly simplistic and may even be harmful.

Consumer debt, incurred to finance consumption, clearly has long-term negative impacts.  Making purchases today with the hopes of being able to pay it off tomorrow encourages poor purchases and decreases future earnings by replacing investment returns with an interest burden.

But what about “good debt”?  Doesn’t it make sense to incur debt for housing, education, and autos?  Maybe.  But the answer isn’t unambiguously affirmative, and by convincing ourselves that debt we incur in these areas we may unintentionally damage our financial futures.

In this special 3-part series, we’ll look at each in turn.

Housing:

Let me lay out a few arguments we often use to support mortgage debt:

  • Buying a house is a great investment.  Prices are bound to go up, maybe as much as 10% per year.
  • Mortgage debt is a great tax shelter.
  • You should buy as much house as you can afford.  This will enable you to earn more when you sell it.

The current housing crisis clearly points out the fallacy of this line of thinking.  Housing prices have traditionally increased at roughly the rate of inflation, or about 3.5% per year.  While this can add up over time, especially with leverage, it doesn’t make housing a slam-dunk investment.  Many people buying into this line of thinking bought much more house than they could afford.  Recent studies by the US Census show that 38% of mortgage holders pay more than 30% of their income in mortgage payments, the level at which the US Government considers housing expenses an unreasonable burden.  And 15% of mortgage holders pay more than 50% of income to mortgage payments.  Even without declines in housing prices, these borrowers would be in trouble.

To avoid falling into this trap, think of housing as you would any other expense: buy what you can afford, using standard banking ratios of 28% of income as a good guideline for the maximum monthly payment.  You will have adequate housing, while still being able to afford other financial goals such as saving for retirement, education expenses, etc.

Check out our other posts in this series to learn why student debt or auto loans may do you more harm than good.

Scott Crawford is CEO of DebtGoal.com, a do-it-yourself system for getting out of debt and lowering your interest costs.  DebtGoal.com incorporates all of the techniques discussed in this post and can help users understand and get visibility to and manage their debt finances.

Watch TV, Go Into Debt (??)

Friday, December 5th, 2008

(please mentally imagine this in your best dramatic E! announcer voice)

Breaking news:  NeNe on “Real Housewives of Atlanta” confirms author’s claim that TV watching is bad for your financial health.

We’ve all heard claims that TV watching can influence actions and you may already be tuning out, but give me a chance and wait until the SHOCKING REAL LIFE EXAMPLE at end of this post to hear me out.

Whether it’s video games and violence or, more recently, TV and teenage sexual behavior, there seem to be plenty of studies tying media consumption patterns to real behavior.

With all the press about the recent study about the correlation between TV viewing and sexual activity of teenagers, I started thinking back to an interesting book I read by Juliet Schor, a professor of Sociology at Boston College.  In the Overspent American, Schor recaps a study she did on the employees of a large telecommunications company to correlate their spending / debt habits to various behaviors and beliefs, including TV watching.

She concluded that each hour of weekly television viewing correlates to an increase in spending of $200. Why?  The “Friends” factor.  As we watch TV, we start to identify with the actors and lifestyles of the shows.  In a real sense, Ross on Friends becomes not just a TV character, but a lifestyle reference point.  If Ross, a paleontologist at a museum can afford a fabulous spacious flat in NYC, certainly we can afford _________________ (fill in the blank yourself with your favorite rationalized expense:  the new car, boat, dining out, etc.).  Keeping up with the Joneses changes to keeping up with a TV fantasy world, and the more we watch, the more realistic the comparisons seem.

The more TV we watch, the more we spend, and the more debt we rack up.

OK, so now the SHOCKING REAL LIFE example.  Reported on E! News, NeNe on “Real Housewives of Atlanta” has publicly stated that she was not evicted from her house for failure to pay rent.  Hmmm.  This from a woman who appears on TV to publicly brag about how much she spends.  It doesn’t take a lot of imagination to see that her spending habits probably kept them from buying a house and that it probably got her evicted despite her claims to the contrary.  MC Hammer, anyone?

How can you avoid this consumption trap?  In her book,  Juliet offers 9 suggestions that I’ve lifted a summary you can find here:

  1. CONTROLLING DESIRE: Become conscious of the tricks that cause you to spend irrationally and overcome those tendencies.
  2. MAKE EXCLUSIVITY UNCOOL: Attatch new and unflattering symbols to consumerism.
  3. VOLUNTARILY RESTRAIN COMPETITIVE SPENDING: Dollar limits on Christmas presents, etc.
  4. SHARING: Communal ownership of certain items like lawnmowers, gardening equipment, childrens toys, etc. Schor recommends setting up lending institutions on the model of public libraries.
  5. BECOME AN EDUCATED CONSUMER: Know the real cost of what you’re buying. Make rational purchasing decisions.
  6. AVOID “RETAIL THERAPY:” Don’t spend money to reward yourself or make yourself feel better.
  7. DECOMMERCIALIZE THE RITUALS: Ten thousand dollars for a wedding? Are you insane!?
  8. MAKING TIME: Is time spent working to make money to buy a meal equivalent to time spent cooking yourself a meal? Analyze those trade-offs and consider doing things for yourself.
  9. THE NEED FOR COORDINATED INTERVENTION: Schor recommends taxes on luxury and name-brand items to discourage us from buying them.

Here’s an interesting video from Juliet Schor:

Let us know your thoughts.  Does TV consumption influence how you spend?  Are you sure?  How about your friends?

Scott Crawford is CEO of DebtGoal.com, a do-it-yourself system for lowering your interest costs and getting out of debt.  DebtGoal.com incorporates all of the techniques discussed in this post and can help users understand and get visibility to and manage their debt finances.